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Spotlight on Terrorism and the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict (June 10 – 17 , 2025)

IDF forces continued extensive aerial and ground attacks on targets belonging to Hamas and the other terrorist organizations operating in the Gaza Strip. Palestinian reports indicated a decrease in the intensity of the attacks and a withdrawal of forces from certain areas. Three IDF soldiers were killed in combat in the southern Gaza Strip; No progress has been made in the negotiations for a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip and the release of the hostages. Hamas denied Iranian involvement in the negotiations. A senior Hamas figure said the Israel-Iran War might lead to a temporary ceasefire in the Strip; The Gaza Humanitarian Foundation continued distributing food packages, for the first time operating all four of its distribution points in one day while facing Hamas accusations of deliberate gunfire on civilians who had come to the distribution centers; Hamas security forces in the Gaza Strip continued taking action against members of the armed militia of Yasser Abu Shabab, which receives support from Israel. Documents were published revealing Hamas' method for exploiting humanitarian aid entering the Strip; The land convoy with 1,500 volunteers which set out from Tunisia to the Rafah Crossing was forced to turn back after authorities in eastern Libya blocked its path and Egyptian authorities expelled foreign activists. Activists in Malaysia announced their intention to send a thousand vessels to "break the siege" on the Gaza Strip; IDF forces killed a terrorist who carried out a shooting at a checkpoint near the settlement of Hermesh in western Samaria. Israeli security forces continued extensive counterterrorism activity in Judea and Samaria; The Two-State Solution conference planned to be held in New York under the sponsorship of France and Saudi Arabia was postponed because of the Israel-Iran War. 
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Spotlight on Terrorism: Hezbollah and Lebanon (June 9 – 16, 2025)

IDF forces continued counteracting Hezbollah's presence in south Lebanon in violation of the ceasefire agreement and against the organization's renewed efforts to rebuild its military capabilities; Senior Hezbollah figures and Lebanese government officials again called on the international community to exert pressure on Israel to end its "violations" of the ceasefire. A senior Hezbollah figure claimed they did not expect Lebanon to launch a military conflict due to its weakness vis-à-vis Israel; The Lebanese army searched a building in the Dahiyeh al-Janoubia in coordination with the ceasefire supervision committee after having been given information by Israel about the presence of weapons; A disagreement was reported within the Lebanese leadership regarding the toughening of UNIFIL's mandate, which is expected to end in August 2025. Hezbollah claimed they supported extending the mandate; The Lebanese leadership condemned an incident in which a resident in south Lebanon was filmed hitting a UNIFIL soldier. The UNIFIL spokesman stressed the agency's right to conduct patrols without an escort of Lebanese army forces; The Lebanese prime minister said the country had regained control of Beirut's international airport and was waging a fight against smuggling. The American ambassador to Lebanon has reportedly expressed dissatisfaction with the authorities' handling of the issue of Hezbollah’s disarmament; Disarming the Palestinian refugee camps has been postponed because of the Israel-Iran War and Internal-Palestinian disputes.
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“Resistance Axis” Reactions to the Israel-Iran Military Conflict

On June 13, 2025, Israel launched a preemptive attack in Iran on dozens of military and security targets and sites of the nuclear program across Iran. More than 20 senior figures in the security leadership, military commanders and nuclear scientists were eliminated, including the commander of the armed forces and the commander of the Revolutionary Guards; Iran confirmed the deaths of the senior officials. Regime officials threatened that "the Zionist regime" would pay a "steep price," and the Revolutionary Guards launched Operation True Promise 3, attacking Israel with UAVs and ballistic missiles; Members of the "resistance axis" condemned Israel, accused it of "crossing red lines," and expressed solidarity with Iran;  According to reports, the Lebanese government conveyed a message to Hezbollah that it alone decided whether or not to go to war. A senior Hezbollah figure said the organization was satisfied with issuing a condemnation and did not plan to respond militarily against Israel; The Houthis claimed that they had attacked targets in Israel in coordination with the Iranians; The pro-Iranian militias in Iraq condemned Israel for violating Iraqi airspace during the attacks on Iran and threatened to take action against American interests if the United States joined the fighting alongside Israel. It was reported that the Iraqi prime minister conveyed messages to the militia leaders that he would act against them if they intervened in the war; Iran built the military capabilities of the Hezbollah-led "resistance axis" as a deterrent against Israel and as part of its response capabilities in the event of an attack on Iranian nuclear facilities. The responses of the organizations were limited to condemnations, indicating the "resistance axis" had been weakened by Israel during the fighting in the Gaza Strip and Lebanon since October 7, 2023. In ITIC assessment, in light of the strategic changes in the Middle East, Hezbollah is currently restrained and the Lebanese government has, for now, successfully imposed its will on the organization. The Shi'ite militias in Iraq are also reluctant to intervene because of pressure from the Iraqi government. Therefore, at this stage, the "resistance axis" organizations, except the Houthis, will most likely not join the fighting. However, active American involvement alongside Israel could lead to an active response by the "resistance axis," especially in Iraq.
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The Israeli protests against the judicial legislation as reflected in Hamas documents

The demonstrations and protest which began in Israel in January 2023 against the judicial legislation promoted by the Israeli government received systematic, extensive attention from the Palestinian media, with commentary on the implications for Israeli society and its military strength; Senior Hamas figures did not publicly comment on the protests in Israel, but Hamas documents brought back by the IDF during the Gaza Strip War showed they were monitoring the reports daily and referred to them in conversations among themselves and with their partners in the "resistance axis," especially in light of preparations for implementing the practical plan for the vision of "the destruction of Israel";  Among the documents were reports from Hamas intelligence departments which gave extensive coverage to the developments surrounding the government's proposed "judicial reform" and the protest, and the possible implications for the IDF’s functioning in light of the reservists' protest; From the documents it appears that Hamas intelligence personnel warned Yahya al-Sinwar, the head of the Hamas political bureau in the Gaza Strip, that given its internal events, Israel would respond with force to any "resistance" initiative, and therefore they recommended waiting and allowing the crisis in Israel to deepen. Nevertheless, al-Sinwar continued the preparations and ordered the execution of the October 7, 2023 terrorist attack and massacre while Israel's internal crisis was still ongoing, reinforcing assessments regarding Israel's response as presented in the Hamas intelligence documents.
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Spotlight on the Israel-Palestinian Conflict (June 3 – 10, 2025)

IDF forces continued extensive air and ground attacks on targets belonging to Hamas and the other terrorist organizations operating in the Gaza Strip and expanded their control to additional areas. A leader of the Mujaheddin Brigades who participated in the October 7, 2023 attack and massacre was eliminated. He was also involved in holding and murdering hostages. Five IDF fighters were killed in two incidents; Hamas said it was prepared to hold renewed negotiations for a permanent ceasefire and accused the Israeli government of the stalemate; The humanitarian fund in the Gaza Strip continued to distribute food packages at centers and through local traders. Hamas accused IDF forces and American security guards of shooting at civilians who had arrived in the area; Hamas security forces announced they would pursue members of the Yasser Abu Shabab militia after confirmation that Israel had given them weapons. Chaos continues in the Gaza Strip with looting, exchanges of fire and executions; The IDF stopped the protest ship Madeleine en route to the Gaza Strip and deported most of the passengers to their original countries. A land convoy with thousands of volunteers left Tunisia for the Rafah Crossing in an attempt to "break the siege"; Israeli security forces continued extensive counterterrorism operations in Judea and Samaria; Palestinian Authority chairman Abbas sent a letter to the French president and the Saudi Arabian crown prince in preparation for the "two-state solution conference" in New York. He called for the release of the hostages in the Gaza Strip and declared that the "Palestinian state" would be demilitarized if it received international protection.
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Spotlight on Iran and the Shiite Axis (May 28—June 4, 2025)

Iran’s Supreme Leader said that “the crimes of the Zionist regime in the Gaza Strip” arouse astonishment and warned that any Islamic government that supports the “Zionist regime” will be left with a mark of shame; The Iranian Supreme Leader’s advisor for international affairs met in Tehran with representatives of Hamas and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) and declared that his country is committed to continuing to support “the struggle of the Palestinian people until the liberation of Jerusalem.” The Iranian foreign minister visited Egypt and stressed the need to stop the Israeli attacks in the Gaza Strip; The Iranian foreign minister met with senior Lebanese government officials in Beirut and stressed that his country respects Lebanon’s internal affairs and is not involved in them; The Houthis claimed responsibility for four ballistic missile attacks on Ben Gurion Airport and three drone attacks. The IDF Spokesperson reported four incidents of intercepting a ballistic missile launched from Yemen. The Houthis also warned companies operating within the “Zionist entity” to leave immediately. The Iranian foreign minister expressed support for continued Houthi activity against Israel but emphasized that they do not operate according to Tehran’s instructions. 
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